Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 69.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 50.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Evans
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Evans
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Evans
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
50.7% (906)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
48.1% (108)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
44.4% (239)
+1.7%
On power play, Evans has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
53.7% (581)
49.8% (643)
Away
50.5% (556)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
54.6%
49.4%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
52.3%
47.9%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |