Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 64.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Evans
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
48.9% (280)
+7.3%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
50.0% (6)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
47.2% (36)
+8.2%
On power play, Evans has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Evans shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Evans
Bjugstad
Home
55.3% (374)
48.4% (190)
Away
57.1% (317)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Evans
Bjugstad
P1
58.5%
41.7%
P2
55.7%
56.6%
P3
53.9%
48.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%