Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Sturm 52.5% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Evans 52.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Evans
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
54.0% (480)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
28.6% (7)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
50.0% (102)
-7.0%
On power play, Evans has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Evans
Sturm
Home
52.1% (503)
54.0% (287)
Away
47.0% (423)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Evans
Sturm
P1
50.5%
53.5%
P2
47.7%
51.0%
P3
51.3%
55.1%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%