Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Sturm 55.2% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 55.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 54.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 54.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Evans
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
56.1% (716)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
67.7% (31)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
51.1% (133)
-7.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Evans
Sturm
Home
49.4% (336)
55.6% (412)
Away
54.8% (314)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Evans
Sturm
P1
55.8%
59.6%
P2
51.7%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%