Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Donato 47.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 66.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Evans
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
30.4% (23)
+20.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
53.3% (15)
+0.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Donato is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Evans
Donato
Home
52.1% (503)
47.1% (17)
Away
47.0% (423)
33.3% (21)
By Period
Evans
Donato
P1
50.5%
33.3%
P2
47.7%
28.6%
P3
51.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |