Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Donato 48.1% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 53.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 82.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Evans
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
48.1% (258)
+8.1%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
43.2% (37)
+26.8%
On power play, Evans has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Evans
Donato
Home
55.3% (374)
45.8% (142)
Away
57.1% (317)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Evans
Donato
P1
58.5%
48.1%
P2
55.7%
46.6%
P3
53.9%
46.8%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |