Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Donato 45.3% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 60.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Evans
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Evans
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
42.9% (140)
+11.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
28.6% (7)
+29.7%
On power play, Evans has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Evans
Donato
Home
49.4% (336)
44.6% (83)
Away
54.8% (314)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Evans
Donato
P1
55.8%
53.2%
P2
51.7%
33.3%
P3
48.2%
41.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |