Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Backlund 50.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 59.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Backlund
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
51.5% (983)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
49.4% (87)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
45.3% (159)
+2.0%
On power play, Benn has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
56.2% (443)
51.6% (653)
Away
54.2% (448)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
49.8%
P3
55.6%
51.7%
OT
71.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |