Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Backlund 49.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 44-35 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 81.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 59.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
35
(79 meetings)
44
35
Benn
Backlund
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
22
8
Benn
Backlund
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
18
Benn
Backlund
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
12
9
Benn
Backlund
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
49.7% (13,410)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
51.6% (1,336)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
44.0% (2,446)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
54.9% (4,547)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
51.9%
48.5%
P2
52.6%
50.3%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
62.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |