Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 78.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Backlund
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
50.4% (1,032)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
52.3% (107)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
40.6% (313)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
57.3% (267)
48.7% (749)
Away
54.6% (262)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
54.3%
50.4%
P2
55.7%
50.1%
P3
58.1%
45.8%
Final 5 min
59.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |