Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Backlund 50.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 91.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 72.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Backlund
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Benn
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
51.0% (1,205)
+11.6%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
59.3% (108)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
42.3% (234)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
60.5% (349)
51.2% (782)
Away
62.0% (363)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
60.8%
51.5%
P2
60.1%
49.8%
P3
62.4%
49.9%
OT
83.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
62.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |