Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Backlund 50.8% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 71.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Benn
Backlund
Last 6: Benn 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Benn
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
51.9% (1,083)
+9.9%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
51.7% (120)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
44.3% (183)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
64.4% (433)
51.9% (673)
Away
55.8% (432)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
61.8%
51.4%
P2
59.6%
50.5%
P3
59.2%
51.4%
OT
55.6%
35.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |