Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 83.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Benn
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Benn
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
50.1% (891)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
53.1% (64)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.8% (278)
+2.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
47.4% (38)
48.1% (580)
Away
47.6% (42)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
32.0%
45.1%
P2
67.9%
54.7%
P3
40.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |