Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.4%). McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 61.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.1%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
McCann
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McCann
MacKinnon
Last 5: McCann 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
McCann
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
45.8% (755)
+0.2%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
48.3% (60)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
27.6% (29)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
45.1% (244)
49.5% (396)
Away
46.0% (248)
41.7% (448)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
42.5%
50.2%
P2
45.9%
43.8%
P3
47.8%
41.4%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |