Auston Matthews vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Pageau 53.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Matthews
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Matthews
Pageau
Last 7: Matthews 2-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Matthews
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
54.9% (384)
-2.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
40.7% (27)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
52.9% (70)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Matthews is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Matthews shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pageau
Home
54.3% (420)
55.4% (222)
Away
50.3% (491)
52.5% (259)
By Period
Matthews
Pageau
P1
54.2%
55.3%
P2
54.3%
55.2%
P3
47.8%
51.1%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |