Connor McDavid vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Pageau 51.1% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 88.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 84.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 85.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
McDavid
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
McDavid
Pageau
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
McDavid
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
6
McDavid
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
51.6% (896)
-10.2%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
49.2% (63)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
50.0% (174)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McDavid is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (335).
McDavid shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pageau
Home
42.8% (451)
51.2% (559)
Away
40.0% (458)
51.2% (574)
By Period
McDavid
Pageau
P1
38.0%
50.4%
P2
44.9%
52.4%
P3
41.7%
51.0%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |