Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Morgan Frost
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Frost 48.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Pageau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Pageau
Frost
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
4
Pageau
Frost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
47.4% (426)
+8.4%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
63.9% (36)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
20.0% (5)
+31.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frost
Home
57.1% (674)
51.1% (221)
Away
53.5% (678)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Pageau
Frost
P1
56.9%
47.5%
P2
54.5%
52.3%
P3
54.7%
44.7%
OT
52.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |