Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Morgan Frost
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Frost 49.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 85.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Pageau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Pageau
Frost
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Pageau
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
48.6% (704)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
55.7% (115)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
25.0% (4)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frost
Home
57.0% (618)
49.9% (399)
Away
53.9% (607)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Pageau
Frost
P1
54.4%
51.2%
P2
61.0%
53.9%
P3
51.0%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |