Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Morgan Frost
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Frost 51.1% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 82.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Pageau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Pageau
Frost
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
7
Pageau
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
2
Pageau
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Pageau
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
50.3% (825)
+9.3%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
54.9% (204)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
50.0% (4)
+6.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frost
Home
59.3% (506)
50.7% (489)
Away
60.0% (482)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Pageau
Frost
P1
56.8%
53.6%
P2
64.4%
47.8%
P3
56.9%
52.0%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |