Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Frost 50.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 41-34 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 54.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Pageau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
34
(75 meetings)
41
34
Pageau
Frost
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
8
21
Pageau
Frost
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
22
5
Pageau
Frost
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
8
Pageau
Frost
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
49.4% (3,598)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
55.5% (625)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
52.8% (36)
-3.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frost
Home
56.3% (6,214)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Pageau
Frost
P1
54.6%
50.8%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
53.5%
48.5%
OT
54.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |