Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Morgan Frost
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Frost 46.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Pageau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Pageau
Frost
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Pageau
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
1
Pageau
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
3
Pageau
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
45.6% (833)
+13.2%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
46.0% (100)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
55.6% (18)
-7.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frost
Home
59.0% (595)
47.0% (440)
Away
55.7% (661)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Pageau
Frost
P1
58.9%
42.5%
P2
57.9%
47.9%
P3
55.6%
46.6%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |