Who wins more faceoffs, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau leads the head-to-head 7-4 across 11 faceoffs.

What is Jean-Gabriel Pageau's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau is 7-4 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-3, Defensive 3-1, Neutral 3-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly is the predicted winner with a 59.9% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan O'Reilly

Jean-Gabriel PageauR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 54.4% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-3.2%)

H2H factor Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings

Offensive zone O'Reilly 72.2%

Defensive zone Pageau 52.4%

Neutral zone O'Reilly 59.7%

Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.9%

40.1%

59.9%

Pageau O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 4 (11 meetings)

Pageau O'Reilly

Last 10: Pageau 6-4 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Pageau O'Reilly

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Pageau

Pageau O'Reilly

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Pageau

Pageau O'Reilly

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pageau

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

55.4% (831)

57.9% (1,179)

-2.5%

Power Play

66.7% (12)

63.0% (292)

+3.7%

Penalty Kill

51.4% (175)

53.8% (320)

-2.4%

On power play, Pageau has a +3.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Pageau is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (739).

Pageau shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).

Home / Away

Pageau

O'Reilly

Home

58.4% (502)

61.3% (884)

Away

51.4% (516)

54.8% (907)

By Period

Pageau

O'Reilly

57.3%

55.5%

56.7%

61.0%

50.4%

56.8%

60.0%

67.7%

Final 5 min

49.3%

55.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pageau

72.0%▲

62.5%

54.8%

O'Reilly

56.0%▲

54.5%

58.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 14, 2017	2	14:33	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 14, 2017	2	06:14	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 4, 2017	3	14:42	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 4, 2017	2	18:30	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 4, 2017	2	02:23	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 29, 2016	2	12:18	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 29, 2016	1	06:09	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 5, 2016	2	14:02	Offensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 5, 2016	2	00:09	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 5, 2016	2	00:00	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 5, 2016	1	00:00	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Pageau's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile