Who wins more faceoffs, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau leads the head-to-head 6-3 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Jean-Gabriel Pageau's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau is 6-3 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 4-0, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau is the predicted winner with a 67.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan O'Reilly

Jean-Gabriel PageauR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.8% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (+4.3%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone O'Reilly 54.5%

Defensive zone Pageau 84.1%

Neutral zone Pageau 66.7%

Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.4%

67.4%

32.6%

Pageau O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

6 - 3 (9 meetings)

Pageau O'Reilly

Last 9: Pageau 6-3 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Pageau O'Reilly

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Pageau

Pageau O'Reilly

4 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Pageau O'Reilly

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pageau

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

59.1% (687)

55.4% (826)

+3.7%

Power Play

69.4% (36)

57.9% (221)

+11.5%

Penalty Kill

60.1% (213)

50.4% (129)

+9.7%

On power play, Pageau has a +11.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).

Pageau shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).

Home / Away

Pageau

O'Reilly

Home

57.8% (377)

55.8% (579)

Away

61.0% (559)

54.9% (597)

By Period

Pageau

O'Reilly

54.1%

57.7%

62.1%

54.8%

61.8%

54.3%

75.0%

50.0%

Final 5 min

63.1%

55.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pageau

54.0%▼

57.5%

59.7%

O'Reilly

54.0%▼

55.5%

55.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 31, 2026	3	01:30	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 31, 2026	3	01:10	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 31, 2026	2	17:56	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 31, 2026	1	09:53	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 8, 2026	3	12:40	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 8, 2026	3	12:23	Offensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 8, 2026	2	16:37	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 8, 2026	2	08:11	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 8, 2026	2	04:03	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Pageau's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile