Who wins more faceoffs, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 8-4 across 12 faceoffs.

What is Jean-Gabriel Pageau's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Jean-Gabriel Pageau is 4-8 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-4, Defensive 3-2, Neutral 1-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jean-Gabriel Pageau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly is the predicted winner with a 56.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan O'Reilly

Jean-Gabriel PageauR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 56.7% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+1.4%)

H2H factor O'Reilly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings

Offensive zone O'Reilly 61.2%

Defensive zone O'Reilly 53.4%

Neutral zone O'Reilly 54.7%

Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.3%

43.7%

56.3%

Pageau O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 8 (12 meetings)

Pageau O'Reilly

Last 10: Pageau 3-7 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Pageau O'Reilly

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Pageau

Pageau O'Reilly

5 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Pageau O'Reilly

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pageau

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

58.8% (889)

56.1% (690)

+2.7%

Power Play

58.2% (182)

64.6% (96)

-6.4%

Penalty Kill

48.6% (185)

45.9% (109)

+2.7%

On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).

Pageau shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).

Home / Away

Pageau

O'Reilly

Home

59.0% (595)

58.3% (408)

Away

55.7% (661)

53.6% (487)

By Period

Pageau

O'Reilly

58.9%

57.7%

57.9%

54.8%

55.6%

55.2%

44.4%

45.5%

Final 5 min

56.0%

50.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pageau

54.0%▼

57.5%

57.2%

O'Reilly

54.0%▼

55.5%

55.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 6, 2022	3	18:03	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 6, 2022	3	14:43	Neutral	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 6, 2022	3	04:05	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 6, 2022	2	14:35	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 6, 2022	2	04:37	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 6, 2022	1	02:37	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 3, 2022	3	05:44	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 3, 2022	2	13:15	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 3, 2022	2	10:18	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 3, 2022	1	12:29	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 3, 2022	1	12:12	Defensive	Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 3, 2022	1	07:39	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly

Pageau's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile