Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 57.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Pageau
Kuraly
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Pageau
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
58.4% (310)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
53.0% (83)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
57.4% (439)
57.1% (184)
Away
55.8% (394)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
54.0%
56.0%
P2
55.0%
56.6%
P3
60.8%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |