Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pageau
Kuraly
Last 6: Pageau 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Pageau
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
49.2% (901)
+9.6%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
68.2% (22)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
49.8% (219)
-1.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
59.0% (595)
51.7% (603)
Away
55.7% (661)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
58.9%
50.9%
P2
57.9%
49.5%
P3
55.6%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |