Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.7% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 93.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
25
(57 meetings)
32
25
Pageau
Kuraly
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
21
3
Pageau
Kuraly
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
15
Pageau
Kuraly
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Pageau
Kuraly
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
51.5% (5,067)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
56.0% (100)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
44.0% (1,063)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,194).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
56.3% (6,136)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
54.7%
50.8%
P2
56.2%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
49.9%
OT
54.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |