Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 79.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 63.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 79.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Pageau
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
49.4% (445)
+7.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
100.0% (3)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
41.9% (117)
+6.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
57.0% (618)
49.2% (248)
Away
53.9% (607)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
54.4%
48.3%
P2
61.0%
44.7%
P3
51.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |