Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
51.8% (444)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
45.3% (150)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
57.8% (377)
54.6% (304)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
55.2%
P2
62.1%
45.7%
P3
61.8%
49.5%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |