Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 61.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pageau
Kuraly
Last 6: Pageau 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
55.3% (515)
+4.3%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
55.6% (9)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
44.8% (58)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
59.3% (506)
57.3% (293)
Away
60.0% (482)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
56.8%
53.8%
P2
64.4%
51.5%
P3
56.9%
57.6%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |