Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 82.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 51.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Pageau
Kuraly
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
52.3% (982)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
41.9% (43)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
39.2% (245)
+12.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
57.1% (674)
50.3% (680)
Away
53.5% (678)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
56.9%
49.5%
P2
54.5%
49.6%
P3
54.7%
49.0%
OT
52.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |