Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tommy Novak
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Novak 46.5% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Pageau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Novak
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Pageau
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
43.2% (118)
+12.6%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
47.8% (23)
+8.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Pageau
Novak
Home
57.1% (674)
50.7% (71)
Away
53.5% (678)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Pageau
Novak
P1
56.9%
44.7%
P2
54.5%
50.0%
P3
54.7%
38.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |