Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tommy Novak
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Novak 45.6% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 79.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Pageau
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
43.8% (384)
+15.0%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
58.8% (17)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
100.0% (1)
-51.4%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Pageau
Novak
Home
59.0% (595)
46.5% (202)
Away
55.7% (661)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Pageau
Novak
P1
58.9%
49.2%
P2
57.9%
44.2%
P3
55.6%
40.0%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%