Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tommy Novak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Novak 43.4% (+17.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 65.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 82.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 66.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Pageau
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
41.4% (379)
+17.7%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
46.9% (32)
+22.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Pageau
Novak
Home
57.8% (377)
42.6% (195)
Away
61.0% (559)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Pageau
Novak
P1
54.1%
42.4%
P2
62.1%
39.2%
P3
61.8%
44.7%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%