Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tommy Novak
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Novak 45.0% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 79.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Pageau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
42.9% (198)
+16.7%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
40.9% (22)
+23.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Pageau
Novak
Home
59.3% (506)
40.9% (110)
Away
60.0% (482)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Pageau
Novak
P1
56.8%
39.1%
P2
64.4%
43.9%
P3
56.9%
44.9%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |