Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 52.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Pageau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Pageau
Karlsson
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
6
Pageau
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Pageau
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
51.4% (735)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
63.5% (115)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
42.9% (133)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
57.1% (674)
52.3% (524)
Away
53.5% (678)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
56.9%
50.7%
P2
54.5%
51.4%
P3
54.7%
53.2%
OT
52.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | OT | 03:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2021 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | William Karlsson |