Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone Karlsson 62.0%
Defensive zone Pageau 59.6%
Neutral zone Pageau 52.2%
Result William Karlsson favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Pageau Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
58.6% (597)
+1.0%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
57.9% (57)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
51.9% (52)
+4.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +6.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
59.3% (506)
59.6% (344)
Away
60.0% (482)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
56.8%
53.1%
P2
64.4%
62.1%
P3
56.9%
60.1%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
61.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%
62.5%
59.6%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
58.1%