Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Pageau
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
58.5% (135)
+0.6%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
80.0% (5)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
44.4% (18)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
57.8% (377)
63.7% (91)
Away
61.0% (559)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
54.1%
54.4%
P2
62.1%
66.7%
P3
61.8%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%