Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.2%). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Pageau
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
56.3% (739)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
58.6% (181)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
47.2% (53)
+0.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
57.0% (618)
56.5% (462)
Away
53.9% (607)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
54.4%
57.1%
P2
61.0%
55.2%
P3
51.0%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%