Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Pageau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Pageau
Karlsson
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Pageau
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
0
Pageau
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
55.3% (897)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
61.1% (113)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
50.8% (132)
-2.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
59.0% (595)
58.6% (560)
Away
55.7% (661)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
58.9%
55.8%
P2
57.9%
55.6%
P3
55.6%
55.7%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | OT | 00:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |