Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson

Jean-Gabriel PageauR vs William KarlssonL
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 54.8% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor Karlsson leads 27-27 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone Karlsson 60.2%
Defensive zone Pageau 70.1%
Neutral zone Pageau 51.1%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Pageau Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
27 - 27 (54 meetings)
27
27
Pageau Karlsson
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
7
13
Pageau Karlsson
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
16
7
Pageau Karlsson
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
7
Pageau Karlsson
11 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
51.8% (7,849)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
54.8% (1,048)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
44.2% (1,109)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
56.3% (6,214)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
54.6%
50.3%
P2
56.3%
51.3%
P3
53.5%
52.4%
OT
54.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 28, 2023 OT 00:26 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 28, 2023 3 15:49 Offensive William Karlsson
Jan 28, 2023 3 13:39 Neutral William Karlsson
Jan 28, 2023 2 14:42 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 28, 2023 2 12:41 Offensive William Karlsson
Dec 17, 2022 3 14:27 Offensive William Karlsson
Dec 17, 2022 2 13:35 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2022 2 10:39 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2022 2 09:39 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2022 1 16:58 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2022 1 03:06 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 19, 2021 OT 03:01 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 19, 2021 OT 00:47 Defensive William Karlsson
Dec 19, 2021 3 18:47 Offensive William Karlsson
Dec 19, 2021 3 12:08 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 19, 2021 2 18:23 Neutral William Karlsson
Dec 19, 2021 2 18:16 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 19, 2021 2 06:48 Neutral William Karlsson
Dec 19, 2021 2 06:38 Defensive William Karlsson
Dec 19, 2021 1 03:24 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Pageau's Profile | Karlsson's Profile