Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.6% vs Hayes 43.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Boqvist
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boqvist
Hayes
Last 5: Boqvist 3-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (432)
42.7% (478)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
42.9% (98)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
45.2% (31)
+29.8%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
36.3% (182)
43.5% (232)
Away
38.1% (268)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
35.2%
40.1%
P2
40.4%
44.8%
P3
36.0%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
36.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
37.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |