Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 38.8% vs Hayes 49.5% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 75.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Boqvist
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Boqvist
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
2
0
Boqvist
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Boqvist
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (196)
48.5% (557)
-14.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.3% (107)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
36.6% (82)
50.8% (313)
Away
30.8% (117)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
31.1%
52.3%
P2
30.8%
47.7%
P3
38.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
20.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
33.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |