Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 41.6% vs Hayes 56.3% (-21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 69.9%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 71.9%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 75.1%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Boqvist
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Boqvist
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Boqvist
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Boqvist
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (140)
56.6% (724)
-21.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.0% (79)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
65.7% (35)
+34.3%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
37.6% (93)
58.0% (405)
Away
32.0% (50)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
28.6%
54.7%
P2
34.8%
55.7%
P3
41.0%
60.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
35.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |