Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 42.2% vs Hayes 42.7% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 55.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Boqvist
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (78)
31.9% (91)
+4.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
64.3% (14)
-44.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
29.8% (57)
30.6% (49)
Away
40.0% (30)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
46.7%
22.9%
P2
29.4%
40.0%
P3
21.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
36.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%