Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Hayes 51.7% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Boqvist
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boqvist
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (148)
51.6% (386)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
53.2% (47)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
60.0% (20)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
43.0% (93)
50.5% (200)
Away
41.3% (75)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
55.9%
58.8%
P2
37.3%
49.3%
P3
31.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |