Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boqvist on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Hayes 47.8% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Boqvist 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.0%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 52.0%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Boqvist
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Boqvist
Hayes
Last 10: Boqvist 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
4
1
Boqvist
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Boqvist
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Boqvist
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,060)
47.6% (6,698)
-10.8%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
51.7% (702)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
45.4% (696)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Boqvist is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Boqvist shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Hayes
Home
37.0% (538)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
36.6% (585)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Boqvist
Hayes
P1
38.2%
47.5%
P2
36.2%
47.7%
P3
36.1%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
37.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
36.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |