Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Steel 50.4% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 55.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
51.3% (195)
-3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
71.4% (7)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.2% (37)
-9.9%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
46.8% (126)
50.0% (100)
Away
50.0% (74)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
50.0%
49.4%
P2
47.9%
48.1%
P3
45.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%