Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Steel 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 68.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 59.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
56.9% (320)
-4.1%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
71.4% (7)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
37.0% (73)
-22.7%
On power play, Steel has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
52.5% (366)
55.9% (202)
Away
51.0% (343)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
53.8%
55.5%
P2
49.2%
55.1%
P3
52.6%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |