Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Steel 46.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 67.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 83.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 70.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 1-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
44.6% (177)
+7.1%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
66.7% (3)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.8% (29)
+17.7%
On power play, Steel has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
49.5% (313)
46.7% (90)
Away
53.5% (333)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
54.5%
47.8%
P2
51.1%
47.0%
P3
49.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |